Shadows over Innistrad Remastered · Arena 4

sir · pull rates for every card in the pack

What's in a pack

~15 cards total

Every pack is filled from these print sheets. Per pack = how many cards come from that sheet on average; pool = how many different cards it could be.

SheetPer packPool

Common1094
Uncommon393
Bonus122
Rare Mythic189

Expected value

—

expected singles value per pack

This is not a reason to open packs.

It's the estimated resale value of the singles inside — before the price of the pack, before fees and shipping, and before the plain fact that most packs are worth less than they cost. The valuable cards are rare (that's the whole point of the table below). If you want a specific card, buying the single is almost always cheaper and certain.

Estimate = Σ (pull chance × current market price), 0 of 298 droppable cards priced. Slightly conservative — a card can appear more than once in a pack.

Every card & its odds

298 of 298

Sort

Card	Finish	Rarity	Price	Odds / pack	Per box
Aim High	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Alchemist's Greeting	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Alms of the Vein	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Angelic Purge	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Apothecary Geist	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Bloodbriar	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Bloodmad Vampire	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Borrowed Grace	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Borrowed Hostility	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Borrowed Malevolence	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Bound by Moonsilver	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Briarbridge Patrol	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Byway Courier	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Certain Death	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Conduit of Storms // Conduit of Emrakul	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Confront the Unknown	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Convolute	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Crow of Dark Tidings	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Dauntless Cathar	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Dawn Gryff	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Dead Weight	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Deny Existence	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Deranged Whelp	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Devilthorn Fox	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Drag Under	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Drogskol Shieldmate	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Drownyard Explorers	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Ember-Eye Wolf	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Epitaph Golem	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Essence Flux	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Explosive Apparatus	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Exultant Cultist	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Faithbearer Paladin	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Field Creeper	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Fiend Binder	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Fogwalker	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Galvanic Bombardment	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Gatstaf Arsonists // Gatstaf Ravagers	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Gavony Unhallowed	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Geist of the Archives	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Ghoulcaller's Accomplice	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Gisa's Bidding	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Gnarlwood Dryad	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Graf Rats	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Grapple with the Past	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Grotesque Mutation	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Guardian of Pilgrims	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Hinterland Logger // Timber Shredder	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Howlpack Wolf	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Imprisoned in the Moon	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Incendiary Flow	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Ingenious Skaab	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Insatiable Gorgers	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Insolent Neonate	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Intrepid Provisioner	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Jace's Scrutiny	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Laboratory Brute	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Liliana's Elite	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Lunarch Mantle	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Macabre Waltz	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Magmatic Chasm	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Magnifying Glass	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Make Mischief	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Merciless Resolve	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Moonlight Hunt	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Morkrut Necropod	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Obsessive Skinner	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Olivia's Dragoon	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Puncturing Light	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Pyre Hound	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Rabid Bite	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Ravenous Bloodseeker	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Rush of Adrenaline	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Sanitarium Skeleton	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Sigardian Priest	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Spontaneous Mutation	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Steadfast Cathar	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Stormrider Spirit	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Strength of Arms	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Swift Spinner	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Take Inventory	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Tattered Haunter	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Terrarion	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Thornhide Wolves	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Thraben Foulbloods	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Thraben Inspector	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Tormenting Voice	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
True-Faith Censer	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Ulvenwald Captive // Ulvenwald Abomination	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Weirded Vampire	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Weirding Wood	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Wild-Field Scarecrow	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Wolfkin Bond	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Wretched Gryff	—	common	—	1 in 9.910%	—
Avacyn's Pilgrim	—	common	—	1 in 119.3%	—
Blazing Torch	—	common	—	1 in 119.3%	—
Bonds of Faith	—	common	—	1 in 119.3%	—
Evolving Wilds	—	common	—	1 in 119.3%	—
Forge Devil	—	common	—	1 in 119.3%	—
Mist Raven	—	common	—	1 in 119.3%	—
Tragic Slip	—	common	—	1 in 119.3%	—
Barter in Blood	—	uncommon	—	1 in 224.7%	—
Brimstone Volley	—	uncommon	—	1 in 224.7%	—
Fiend Hunter	—	uncommon	—	1 in 224.7%	—
Invisible Stalker	—	uncommon	—	1 in 224.7%	—
Somberwald Sage	—	uncommon	—	1 in 224.7%	—
Vessel of Endless Rest	—	uncommon	—	1 in 224.7%	—
Abundant Maw	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Accursed Witch // Infectious Curse	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Advanced Stitchwing	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Anguished Unmaking	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Biting Rain	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Blessed Alliance	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Blood Mist	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Brain in a Jar	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Call the Bloodline	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Choked Estuary	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Clear Shot	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Compelling Deterrence	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Courageous Outrider	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Crawling Sensation	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Cryptolith Fragment // Aurora of Emrakul	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Curious Homunculus // Voracious Reader	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Daring Sleuth // Bearer of Overwhelming Truths	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Deathcap Cultivator	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Drownyard Behemoth	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Drunau Corpse Trawler	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Dusk Feaster	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Duskwatch Recruiter // Krallenhorde Howler	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Erdwal Illuminator	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Faith Unbroken	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Fiery Temper	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Fleeting Memories	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Foreboding Ruins	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Forsaken Sanctuary	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Fortified Village	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Foul Orchard	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Furyblade Vampire	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Game Trail	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Geier Reach Bandit // Vildin-Pack Alpha	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Graf Harvest	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Graf Mole	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Groundskeeper	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Gryff's Boon	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Hamlet Captain	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Harvest Hand // Scrounged Scythe	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Haunted Dead	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Highland Lake	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Hope Against Hope	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Howlpack Resurgence	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Humble the Brute	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Indulgent Aristocrat	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Invasive Surgery	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Ironclad Slayer	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Kindly Stranger // Demon-Possessed Witch	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Lightning Axe	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Lone Rider // It That Rides as One	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Lupine Prototype	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Mad Prophet	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Manic Scribe	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Mercurial Geists	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Midnight Scavengers	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Mockery of Nature	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Mournwillow	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Murderer's Axe	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Nearheath Chaplain	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Nebelgast Herald	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Neglected Heirloom // Ashmouth Blade	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Noose Constrictor	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Olivia's Bloodsworn	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Ongoing Investigation	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Pack Guardian	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Pick the Brain	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Pieces of the Puzzle	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Pore Over the Pages	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Port Town	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Reaper of Flight Moonsilver	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Ride Down	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Rise from the Grave	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Rise from the Tides	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Ruthless Disposal	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Scourge Wolf	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Shreds of Sanity	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Shrill Howler // Howling Chorus	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Soul Separator	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Spectral Shepherd	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Stensia Masquerade	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Stone Quarry	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Stromkirk Occultist	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Subjugator Angel	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Thermo-Alchemist	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Topplegeist	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Town Gossipmonger // Incited Rabble	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Ulrich's Kindred	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Ulvenwald Mysteries	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Uncaged Fury	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Vessel of Nascency	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Veteran Cathar	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Village Messenger // Moonrise Intruder	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Woodland Stream	—	uncommon	—	1 in 313.2%	—
Altered Ego	—	rare	—	1 in 781.3%	—
Always Watching	—	rare	—	1 in 781.3%	—
Assembled Alphas	—	rare	—	1 in 781.3%	—
Avacyn's Judgment	—	rare	—	1 in 781.3%	—
Bedlam Reveler	—	rare	—	1 in 781.3%	—
Bloodhall Priest	—	rare	—	1 in 781.3%	—
Bruna, the Fading Light	—	rare	—	1 in 781.3%	—
Burn from Within	—	rare	—	1 in 781.3%	—
Bygone Bishop	—	rare	—	1 in 781.3%	—
Collective Brutality	—	rare	—	1 in 781.3%	—
Collective Defiance	—	rare	—	1 in 781.3%	—
Collective Effort	—	rare	—	1 in 781.3%	—
Confirm Suspicions	—	rare	—	1 in 781.3%	—
Cryptolith Rite	—	rare	—	1 in 781.3%	—
Dark Salvation	—	rare	—	1 in 781.3%	—
Declaration in Stone	—	rare	—	1 in 781.3%	—
Devils' Playground	—	rare	—	1 in 781.3%	—
Diregraf Colossus	—	rare	—	1 in 781.3%	—
Distended Mindbender	—	rare	—	1 in 781.3%	—
Docent of Perfection // Final Iteration	—	rare	—	1 in 781.3%	—
Elder Deep-Fiend	—	rare	—	1 in 781.3%	—
Eldritch Evolution	—	rare	—	1 in 781.3%	—
Epiphany at the Drownyard	—	rare	—	1 in 781.3%	—
Eternal Scourge	—	rare	—	1 in 781.3%	—
Ever After	—	rare	—	1 in 781.3%	—
Falkenrath Gorger	—	rare	—	1 in 781.3%	—
Fevered Visions	—	rare	—	1 in 781.3%	—
Flameblade Angel	—	rare	—	1 in 781.3%	—
Forgotten Creation	—	rare	—	1 in 781.3%	—
Geier Reach Sanitarium	—	rare	—	1 in 781.3%	—
Geralf's Masterpiece	—	rare	—	1 in 781.3%	—
Grim Flayer	—	rare	—	1 in 781.3%	—
Hanweir Battlements	—	rare	—	1 in 781.3%	—
Hanweir Garrison	—	rare	—	1 in 781.3%	—
Heron's Grace Champion	—	rare	—	1 in 781.3%	—
Mausoleum Wanderer	—	rare	—	1 in 781.3%	—
Noosegraf Mob	—	rare	—	1 in 781.3%	—
Odric, Lunarch Marshal	—	rare	—	1 in 781.3%	—
Permeating Mass	—	rare	—	1 in 781.3%	—
Prized Amalgam	—	rare	—	1 in 781.3%	—
Rattlechains	—	rare	—	1 in 781.3%	—
Sage of Ancient Lore // Werewolf of Ancient Hunger	—	rare	—	1 in 781.3%	—
Second Harvest	—	rare	—	1 in 781.3%	—
Selfless Spirit	—	rare	—	1 in 781.3%	—
Sigarda's Aid	—	rare	—	1 in 781.3%	—
Sin Prodder	—	rare	—	1 in 781.3%	—
Slayer's Plate	—	rare	—	1 in 781.3%	—
Spell Queller	—	rare	—	1 in 781.3%	—
Spirit of the Hunt	—	rare	—	1 in 781.3%	—
Splendid Reclamation	—	rare	—	1 in 781.3%	—
Stitcher's Graft	—	rare	—	1 in 781.3%	—
Stromkirk Condemned	—	rare	—	1 in 781.3%	—
Summary Dismissal	—	rare	—	1 in 781.3%	—
Tamiyo's Journal	—	rare	—	1 in 781.3%	—
Thalia's Lancers	—	rare	—	1 in 781.3%	—
Thalia, Heretic Cathar	—	rare	—	1 in 781.3%	—
Thing in the Ice // Awoken Horror	—	rare	—	1 in 781.3%	—
Tireless Tracker	—	rare	—	1 in 781.3%	—
Traverse the Ulvenwald	—	rare	—	1 in 781.3%	—
Tree of Perdition	—	rare	—	1 in 781.3%	—
Triskaidekaphobia	—	rare	—	1 in 781.3%	—
Ulrich of the Krallenhorde // Ulrich, Uncontested Alpha	—	rare	—	1 in 781.3%	—
Ulvenwald Hydra	—	rare	—	1 in 781.3%	—
Voldaren Pariah // Abolisher of Bloodlines	—	rare	—	1 in 781.3%	—
Westvale Abbey // Ormendahl, Profane Prince	—	rare	—	1 in 781.3%	—
Wharf Infiltrator	—	rare	—	1 in 781.3%	—
Avacyn, Angel of Hope	—	mythic	—	1 in 1290.775%	—
Balefire Dragon	—	mythic	—	1 in 1290.775%	—
Garruk Relentless // Garruk, the Veil-Cursed	—	mythic	—	1 in 1290.775%	—
Geist of Saint Traft	—	mythic	—	1 in 1290.775%	—
Griselbrand	—	mythic	—	1 in 1290.775%	—
Havengul Lich	—	mythic	—	1 in 1290.775%	—
Huntmaster of the Fells // Ravager of the Fells	—	mythic	—	1 in 1290.775%	—
Sigarda, Host of Herons	—	mythic	—	1 in 1290.775%	—
Snapcaster Mage	—	mythic	—	1 in 1290.775%	—
Archangel Avacyn // Avacyn, the Purifier	—	mythic	—	1 in 1550.645%	—
Arlinn Kord // Arlinn, Embraced by the Moon	—	mythic	—	1 in 1550.645%	—
Decimator of the Provinces	—	mythic	—	1 in 1550.645%	—
Descend upon the Sinful	—	mythic	—	1 in 1550.645%	—
Emrakul, the Promised End	—	mythic	—	1 in 1550.645%	—
Gisa and Geralf	—	mythic	—	1 in 1550.645%	—
Gisela, the Broken Blade	—	mythic	—	1 in 1550.645%	—
Goldnight Castigator	—	mythic	—	1 in 1550.645%	—
Ishkanah, Grafwidow	—	mythic	—	1 in 1550.645%	—
Jace, Unraveler of Secrets	—	mythic	—	1 in 1550.645%	—
Liliana, the Last Hope	—	mythic	—	1 in 1550.645%	—
Mind's Dilation	—	mythic	—	1 in 1550.645%	—
Mindwrack Demon	—	mythic	—	1 in 1550.645%	—
Mirrorwing Dragon	—	mythic	—	1 in 1550.645%	—
Nahiri's Wrath	—	mythic	—	1 in 1550.645%	—
Nahiri, the Harbinger	—	mythic	—	1 in 1550.645%	—
Olivia, Mobilized for War	—	mythic	—	1 in 1550.645%	—
Relentless Dead	—	mythic	—	1 in 1550.645%	—
Seasons Past	—	mythic	—	1 in 1550.645%	—
Sigarda, Heron's Grace	—	mythic	—	1 in 1550.645%	—
Sorin, Grim Nemesis	—	mythic	—	1 in 1550.645%	—
Startled Awake // Persistent Nightmare	—	mythic	—	1 in 1550.645%	—
Tamiyo, Field Researcher	—	mythic	—	1 in 1550.645%	—

How these odds are calculated

Pull rates come from the set's real pack configuration published by MTGJSON (v5.3.0+20260804) — the same print-sheet weights the real pack uses.
1 in N = 1 ÷ (chance the card appears at least once in a pack), averaged across every pack configuration and weighted by how often each occurs.
Per-box chance = 1 − (1 − pack chance)^{packs per box} — the chance of at least one across a sealed box of the size shown.
Foil and non-foil are listed separately: different cards to a collector, priced very differently.
A deliberate approximation treats each sheet as sampled with replacement. For real sheet sizes the difference is far below the rounding shown, and it can only ever understate a card's odds, never overstate them.
Card identity, images, and prices from Scryfall and TCGplayer market data, updated daily. Box sizes are the typical retail configuration.