Pioneer Masters · Arena 3

pio · pull rates for every card in the pack

What's in a pack

~15 cards total

Every pack is filled from these print sheets. Per pack = how many cards come from that sheet on average; pool = how many different cards it could be.

SheetPer packPool

Common881
Uncommon3100
Devotion140
Gate110
Rare Mythic187
Variety1268

Expected value

—

expected singles value per pack

This is not a reason to open packs.

It's the estimated resale value of the singles inside — before the price of the pack, before fees and shipping, and before the plain fact that most packs are worth less than they cost. The valuable cards are rare (that's the whole point of the table below). If you want a specific card, buying the single is almost always cheaper and certain.

Estimate = Σ (pull chance × current market price), 0 of 318 droppable cards priced. Slightly conservative — a card can appear more than once in a pack.

Every card & its odds

318 of 318

Sort

Card	Finish	Rarity	Price	Odds / pack	Per box
Azorius Guildgate	—	common	—	1 in 1010%	—
Boros Guildgate	—	common	—	1 in 1010%	—
Dimir Guildgate	—	common	—	1 in 1010%	—
Golgari Guildgate	—	common	—	1 in 1010%	—
Gruul Guildgate	—	common	—	1 in 1010%	—
Izzet Guildgate	—	common	—	1 in 1010%	—
Orzhov Guildgate	—	common	—	1 in 1010%	—
Rakdos Guildgate	—	common	—	1 in 1010%	—
Selesnya Guildgate	—	common	—	1 in 1010%	—
Simic Guildgate	—	common	—	1 in 1010%	—
Akoum Warrior // Akoum Teeth	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
Akroan Crusader	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
Ardenvale Tactician // Dizzying Swoop	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
Artful Maneuver	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
Audacity	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
Baleful Eidolon	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
Basilica Screecher	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
Bloodfire Enforcers	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
Boulder Salvo	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
Boundary Lands Ranger	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
Cloudfin Raptor	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
Commune with the Gods	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
Compulsory Rest	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
Consider	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
Courier's Briefcase	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
Darksteel Ingot	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
Devour Flesh	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
District Guide	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
Dragon Mantle	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
Dreadbore	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
Dreg Mangler	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
Essence Scatter	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
Evolving Wilds	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
Fall of the Hammer	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
Fallaji Archaeologist	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
Gateway Plaza	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
Ghirapur Gearcrafter	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
Ghostblade Eidolon	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
Gladecover Scout	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
Gnarlback Rhino	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
Gurmag Angler	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
Gust of Wind	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
Halo Scarab	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
Heliod's Pilgrim	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
Hero of Iroas	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
Imperious Oligarch	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
Ingenious Skaab	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
Keening Apparition	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
Khalni Ambush // Khalni Territory	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
Knightly Valor	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
Lagonna-Band Trailblazer	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
Leafcrown Dryad	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
Lotus-Eye Mystics	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
Lyev Skyknight	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
Makindi Sliderunner	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
Martial Glory	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
Mizzium Skin	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
Nantuko Husk	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
Nemesis of Mortals	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
Nessian Asp	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
Nimbus Naiad	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
Nivix Cyclops	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
Ob Nixilis's Cruelty	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
Opal Lake Gatekeepers	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
Pelakka Predation // Pelakka Caverns	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
Pilgrim's Eye	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
Possessed Skaab	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
Purphoros's Emissary	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
Read the Bones	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
Returned Centaur	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
Rimrock Knight // Boulder Rush	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
Sanitarium Skeleton	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
Savage Punch	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
Scion of Ugin	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
Sejiri Shelter // Sejiri Glacier	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
Selesnya Charm	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
Silumgar Butcher	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
Silundi Vision // Silundi Isle	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
Skyrider Elf	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
Supernatural Stamina	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
Swift Reckoning	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
Syndicate Messenger	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
Tah-Crop Skirmisher	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
Treasure Cruise	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
Undead Butler	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
Unravel the Aether	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
Voyaging Satyr	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
Wild Slash	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
Windrider Patrol	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
Witch's Mark	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
Zendikar Incarnate	—	common	—	1 in 109.7%	—
Archaeomancer	—	common	—	1 in 128.1%	—
Disciple of Phenax	—	common	—	1 in 128.1%	—
Nylea's Disciple	—	common	—	1 in 128.1%	—
Stoneshock Giant	—	common	—	1 in 128.1%	—
Wingsteed Rider	—	common	—	1 in 128.1%	—
Alpha Authority	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Anax and Cymede	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Anchor to the Aether	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Aqueous Form	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Archway Angel	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Artisan of Forms	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Aspect of Hydra	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Azorius Charm	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Bala Ged Recovery // Bala Ged Sanctuary	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Bane of Bala Ged	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Bassara Tower Archer	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Blackbloom Rogue // Blackbloom Bog	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Blood Scrivener	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Bloodtithe Harvester	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Boon Satyr	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Brineborn Cutthroat	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Cartel Aristocrat	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Catacomb Sifter	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Celestial Archon	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Clear Shot	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Conclave Naturalists	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Coordinated Assault	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Crackdown Construct	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Cruel Revival	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Crypt Incursion	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Dark Deal	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Destructive Revelry	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Dinrova Horror	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Draconic Roar	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Dragon-Style Twins	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Dreadhound	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Experiment One	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Extricator of Sin // Extricator of Flesh	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Fell Stinger	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Fight with Fire	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Furious Rise	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Gate Colossus	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Gatebreaker Ram	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Gates Ablaze	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Ghor-Clan Rampager	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Goreclaw, Terror of Qal Sisma	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Guild Summit	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Heart-Piercer Manticore	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Hero of Leina Tower	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Honored Hydra	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Hopeful Eidolon	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Humble Defector	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Illusory Angel	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Imposing Sovereign	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Jhessian Thief	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Jwari Disruption // Jwari Ruins	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Kabira Takedown // Kabira Plateau	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Kiora's Follower	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Kraul Harpooner	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Labyrinth Champion	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Loxodon Smiter	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Mentor of the Meek	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Mogis's Warhound	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Monastery Swiftspear	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Murmuring Mystic	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Nighthowler	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Nyx Weaver	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Ordeal of Purphoros	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Phalanx Leader	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Phalanx Tactics	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Priest of the Blood Rite	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Pulse of Murasa	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Quicken	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Rapid Hybridization	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Rescue from the Underworld	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Rogue's Passage	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Scab-Clan Berserker	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Scatter to the Winds	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Scytheclaw Raptor	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Seed Guardian	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Shipbreaker Kraken	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Sight Beyond Sight	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Silkwrap	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Sin Collector	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Spawning Bed	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Sphere of Safety	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Stab Wound	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Stasis Snare	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Steam Augury	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Steward of Solidarity	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Stormchaser Mage	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Swift Warkite	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Tenth District Legionnaire	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Thunderclap Wyvern	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Tomebound Lich	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Tormented Hero	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Triplicate Spirits	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Ubul Sar Gatekeepers	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Ultimate Price	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Unflinching Courage	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Urban Evolution	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Valakut Awakening // Valakut Stoneforge	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
War Oracle	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Zephyr Winder	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Zulaport Cutthroat	—	uncommon	—	1 in 283.6%	—
Abhorrent Overlord	—	uncommon	—	1 in 402.5%	—
Ash Zealot	—	uncommon	—	1 in 402.5%	—
Avatar of the Resolute	—	uncommon	—	1 in 402.5%	—
Bounding Krasis	—	uncommon	—	1 in 402.5%	—
Eidolon of Rhetoric	—	uncommon	—	1 in 402.5%	—
Evangel of Heliod	—	uncommon	—	1 in 402.5%	—
Fanatic of Mogis	—	uncommon	—	1 in 402.5%	—
Fiendslayer Paladin	—	uncommon	—	1 in 402.5%	—
Frostburn Weird	—	uncommon	—	1 in 402.5%	—
Gift of Orzhova	—	uncommon	—	1 in 402.5%	—
Growing Ranks	—	uncommon	—	1 in 402.5%	—
Illness in the Ranks	—	uncommon	—	1 in 402.5%	—
Keepsake Gorgon	—	uncommon	—	1 in 402.5%	—
Nightveil Specter	—	uncommon	—	1 in 402.5%	—
Pyromancer's Assault	—	uncommon	—	1 in 402.5%	—
Reverent Hunter	—	uncommon	—	1 in 402.5%	—
Rubblebelt Raiders	—	uncommon	—	1 in 402.5%	—
Silumgar Sorcerer	—	uncommon	—	1 in 402.5%	—
Sphinx of Magosi	—	uncommon	—	1 in 402.5%	—
Sphinx's Tutelage	—	uncommon	—	1 in 402.5%	—
Aetherling	—	rare	—	1 in 651.5%	—
Ashen Rider	—	rare	—	1 in 651.5%	—
Bident of Thassa	—	rare	—	1 in 651.5%	—
Boros Reckoner	—	rare	—	1 in 651.5%	—
Bring to Light	—	rare	—	1 in 651.5%	—
Burning Anger	—	rare	—	1 in 651.5%	—
Chained to the Rocks	—	rare	—	1 in 651.5%	—
Chasm Skulker	—	rare	—	1 in 651.5%	—
Chromanticore	—	rare	—	1 in 651.5%	—
Counterflux	—	rare	—	1 in 651.5%	—
Crush of Tentacles	—	rare	—	1 in 651.5%	—
Dictate of Erebos	—	rare	—	1 in 651.5%	—
Dictate of Heliod	—	rare	—	1 in 651.5%	—
Exquisite Firecraft	—	rare	—	1 in 651.5%	—
Fleecemane Lion	—	rare	—	1 in 651.5%	—
Goblin Rabblemaster	—	rare	—	1 in 651.5%	—
Haven of the Spirit Dragon	—	rare	—	1 in 651.5%	—
Hissing Quagmire	—	rare	—	1 in 651.5%	—
Hornet Nest	—	rare	—	1 in 651.5%	—
Knight of the White Orchid	—	rare	—	1 in 651.5%	—
Legion Loyalist	—	rare	—	1 in 651.5%	—
Lifebane Zombie	—	rare	—	1 in 651.5%	—
Linvala, the Preserver	—	rare	—	1 in 651.5%	—
Lotleth Troll	—	rare	—	1 in 651.5%	—
Lumbering Falls	—	rare	—	1 in 651.5%	—
Master of Waves	—	rare	—	1 in 651.5%	—
Medomai the Ageless	—	rare	—	1 in 651.5%	—
Mistcutter Hydra	—	rare	—	1 in 651.5%	—
Needle Spires	—	rare	—	1 in 651.5%	—
Niblis of Frost	—	rare	—	1 in 651.5%	—
Notion Thief	—	rare	—	1 in 651.5%	—
Oath of Chandra	—	rare	—	1 in 651.5%	—
Oath of Nissa	—	rare	—	1 in 651.5%	—
Outpost Siege	—	rare	—	1 in 651.5%	—
Painful Truths	—	rare	—	1 in 651.5%	—
Pia and Kiran Nalaar	—	rare	—	1 in 651.5%	—
Polukranos, World Eater	—	rare	—	1 in 651.5%	—
Ruric Thar, the Unbowed	—	rare	—	1 in 651.5%	—
Scourge of Valkas	—	rare	—	1 in 651.5%	—
Secure the Wastes	—	rare	—	1 in 651.5%	—
Shamanic Revelation	—	rare	—	1 in 651.5%	—
Shambling Vent	—	rare	—	1 in 651.5%	—
Sidisi, Undead Vizier	—	rare	—	1 in 651.5%	—
Silence	—	rare	—	1 in 651.5%	—
Sire of Insanity	—	rare	—	1 in 651.5%	—
Skylasher	—	rare	—	1 in 651.5%	—
Soulflayer	—	rare	—	1 in 651.5%	—
Spirit of the Labyrinth	—	rare	—	1 in 651.5%	—
Starfield of Nyx	—	rare	—	1 in 651.5%	—
Stormtide Leviathan	—	rare	—	1 in 651.5%	—
Sylvan Caryatid	—	rare	—	1 in 651.5%	—
Sylvan Primordial	—	rare	—	1 in 651.5%	—
Tasigur, the Golden Fang	—	rare	—	1 in 651.5%	—
Tidebinder Mage	—	rare	—	1 in 651.5%	—
Urborg, Tomb of Yawgmoth	—	rare	—	1 in 651.5%	—
Wandering Fumarole	—	rare	—	1 in 651.5%	—
Whip of Erebos	—	rare	—	1 in 651.5%	—
Woodland Wanderer	—	rare	—	1 in 651.5%	—
Xathrid Necromancer	—	rare	—	1 in 651.5%	—
Zurgo Bellstriker	—	rare	—	1 in 651.5%	—
Archangel of Thune	—	mythic	—	1 in 1280.778%	—
Assemble the Legion	—	mythic	—	1 in 1280.778%	—
Behold the Beyond	—	mythic	—	1 in 1280.778%	—
Blood Baron of Vizkopa	—	mythic	—	1 in 1280.778%	—
Chandra, Flamecaller	—	mythic	—	1 in 1280.778%	—
Day's Undoing	—	mythic	—	1 in 1280.778%	—
Dragonlord Atarka	—	mythic	—	1 in 1280.778%	—
Dragonlord Dromoka	—	mythic	—	1 in 1280.778%	—
Dragonlord Kolaghan	—	mythic	—	1 in 1280.778%	—
Dragonlord Ojutai	—	mythic	—	1 in 1280.778%	—
Dragonlord Silumgar	—	mythic	—	1 in 1280.778%	—
Epic Experiment	—	mythic	—	1 in 1280.778%	—
Garruk, Apex Predator	—	mythic	—	1 in 1280.778%	—
Gideon, Ally of Zendikar	—	mythic	—	1 in 1280.778%	—
Jace, Vryn's Prodigy // Jace, Telepath Unbound	—	mythic	—	1 in 1280.778%	—
Kozilek's Return	—	mythic	—	1 in 1280.778%	—
Kytheon, Hero of Akros // Gideon, Battle-Forged	—	mythic	—	1 in 1280.778%	—
Liliana, Heretical Healer // Liliana, Defiant Necromancer	—	mythic	—	1 in 1280.778%	—
Maze's End	—	mythic	—	1 in 1280.778%	—
Nissa, Vastwood Seer // Nissa, Sage Animist	—	mythic	—	1 in 1280.778%	—
Nissa, Voice of Zendikar	—	mythic	—	1 in 1280.778%	—
Ob Nixilis Reignited	—	mythic	—	1 in 1280.778%	—
Progenitor Mimic	—	mythic	—	1 in 1280.778%	—
Stormbreath Dragon	—	mythic	—	1 in 1280.778%	—
Temporal Trespass	—	mythic	—	1 in 1280.778%	—
Void Winnower	—	mythic	—	1 in 1280.778%	—
Whisperwood Elemental	—	mythic	—	1 in 1280.778%	—
Athreos, God of Passage	—	mythic	—	1 in 1650.606%	—
Ephara, God of the Polis	—	mythic	—	1 in 1650.606%	—
Erebos, God of the Dead	—	mythic	—	1 in 1650.606%	—
Heliod, God of the Sun	—	mythic	—	1 in 1650.606%	—
Iroas, God of Victory	—	mythic	—	1 in 1650.606%	—
Karametra, God of Harvests	—	mythic	—	1 in 1650.606%	—
Keranos, God of Storms	—	mythic	—	1 in 1650.606%	—
Kruphix, God of Horizons	—	mythic	—	1 in 1650.606%	—
Mogis, God of Slaughter	—	mythic	—	1 in 1650.606%	—
Nylea, God of the Hunt	—	mythic	—	1 in 1650.606%	—
Pharika, God of Affliction	—	mythic	—	1 in 1650.606%	—
Phenax, God of Deception	—	mythic	—	1 in 1650.606%	—
Purphoros, God of the Forge	—	mythic	—	1 in 1650.606%	—
Thassa, God of the Sea	—	mythic	—	1 in 1650.606%	—
Xenagos, God of Revels	—	mythic	—	1 in 1650.606%	—

How these odds are calculated

Pull rates come from the set's real pack configuration published by MTGJSON (v5.3.0+20260804) — the same print-sheet weights the real pack uses.
1 in N = 1 ÷ (chance the card appears at least once in a pack), averaged across every pack configuration and weighted by how often each occurs.
Per-box chance = 1 − (1 − pack chance)^{packs per box} — the chance of at least one across a sealed box of the size shown.
Foil and non-foil are listed separately: different cards to a collector, priced very differently.
A deliberate approximation treats each sheet as sampled with replacement. For real sheet sizes the difference is far below the rounding shown, and it can only ever understate a card's odds, never overstate them.
Card identity, images, and prices from Scryfall and TCGplayer market data, updated daily. Box sizes are the typical retail configuration.