Outlaws of Thunder Junction · Prerelease Pack

otj · pull rates for every card in the pack

What's in a pack

~1 cards total

Every pack is filled from these print sheets. Per pack = how many cards come from that sheet on average; pool = how many different cards it could be.

SheetPer packPool

Prerelease PromoFOIL180

Expected value

$2.89

expected singles value per pack

$17.34

per box (~6 packs)

This is not a reason to open packs.

It's the estimated resale value of the singles inside — before the price of the pack, before fees and shipping, and before the plain fact that most packs are worth less than they cost. The valuable cards are rare (that's the whole point of the table below). If you want a specific card, buying the single is almost always cheaper and certain.

Estimate = Σ (pull chance × current market price), 80 of 80 droppable cards priced. Slightly conservative — a card can appear more than once in a pack.

Chase cards (30)

foil

Bristly Bill, Spine Sower

Kambal, Profiteering Mayor

Tinybones, the Pickpocket

Page 1 of 3(30 cards)

Every card & its odds

80 of 80

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Card	Finish	Rarity	Price	Odds / pack	Per box
Akul the Unrepentant	Foil	rare	$0.65	1 in 701.4%	8.3%
Annie Joins Up	Foil	rare	$9.52	1 in 701.4%	8.3%
Another Round	Foil	rare	$0.72	1 in 701.4%	8.3%
Archmage's Newt	Foil	rare	$0.38	1 in 701.4%	8.3%
Aven Interrupter	Foil	rare	$5.85	1 in 701.4%	8.3%
Blooming Marsh	Foil	rare	$2.08	1 in 701.4%	8.3%
Bonny Pall, Clearcutter	Foil	rare	$1.35	1 in 701.4%	8.3%
Botanical Sanctum	Foil	rare	$1.55	1 in 701.4%	8.3%
Breeches, the Blastmaker	Foil	rare	$0.46	1 in 701.4%	8.3%
Bruse Tarl, Roving Rancher	Foil	rare	$0.28	1 in 701.4%	8.3%
Calamity, Galloping Inferno	Foil	rare	$0.53	1 in 701.4%	8.3%
Caustic Bronco	Foil	rare	$1.12	1 in 701.4%	8.3%
Claim Jumper	Foil	rare	$1.88	1 in 701.4%	8.3%
Colossal Rattlewurm	Foil	rare	$0.40	1 in 701.4%	8.3%
Concealed Courtyard	Foil	rare	$2.76	1 in 701.4%	8.3%
Duelist of the Mind	Foil	rare	$0.51	1 in 701.4%	8.3%
Dust Animus	Foil	rare	$0.41	1 in 701.4%	8.3%
Eriette, the Beguiler	Foil	rare	$0.60	1 in 701.4%	8.3%
Fblthp, Lost on the Range	Foil	rare	$0.51	1 in 701.4%	8.3%
Fortune, Loyal Steed	Foil	rare	$0.39	1 in 701.4%	8.3%
Freestrider Lookout	Foil	rare	$1.03	1 in 701.4%	8.3%
Great Train Heist	Foil	rare	$4.78	1 in 701.4%	8.3%
Hell to Pay	Foil	rare	$0.93	1 in 701.4%	8.3%
Hellspur Posse Boss	Foil	rare	$0.38	1 in 701.4%	8.3%
High Noon	Foil	rare	$5.57	1 in 701.4%	8.3%
Insatiable Avarice	Foil	rare	$11.49	1 in 701.4%	8.3%
Inspiring Vantage	Foil	rare	$3.61	1 in 701.4%	8.3%
Kaervek, the Punisher	Foil	rare	$0.78	1 in 701.4%	8.3%
Kambal, Profiteering Mayor	Foil	rare	$9.40	1 in 701.4%	8.3%
Kellan Joins Up	Foil	rare	$0.54	1 in 701.4%	8.3%
Laughing Jasper Flint	Foil	rare	$1.12	1 in 701.4%	8.3%
Lilah, Undefeated Slickshot	Foil	rare	$0.54	1 in 701.4%	8.3%
Magda, the Hoardmaster	Foil	rare	$0.92	1 in 701.4%	8.3%
Malcolm, the Eyes	Foil	rare	$0.57	1 in 701.4%	8.3%
Marchesa, Dealer of Death	Foil	rare	$0.54	1 in 701.4%	8.3%
Obeka, Splitter of Seconds	Foil	rare	$0.66	1 in 701.4%	8.3%
One Last Job	Foil	rare	$0.75	1 in 701.4%	8.3%
Ornery Tumblewagg	Foil	rare	$0.46	1 in 701.4%	8.3%
Outcaster Trailblazer	Foil	rare	$1.56	1 in 701.4%	8.3%
Pillage the Bog	Foil	rare	$0.59	1 in 701.4%	8.3%
Pitiless Carnage	Foil	rare	$0.50	1 in 701.4%	8.3%
Rakdos Joins Up	Foil	rare	$1.17	1 in 701.4%	8.3%
Riku of Many Paths	Foil	rare	$0.47	1 in 701.4%	8.3%
Roxanne, Starfall Savant	Foil	rare	$2.17	1 in 701.4%	8.3%
Rush of Dread	Foil	rare	$0.83	1 in 701.4%	8.3%
Satoru, the Infiltrator	Foil	rare	$1.59	1 in 701.4%	8.3%
Seraphic Steed	Foil	rare	$0.45	1 in 701.4%	8.3%
Slickshot Show-Off	Foil	rare	$5.37	1 in 701.4%	8.3%
Smuggler's Surprise	Foil	rare	$6.30	1 in 701.4%	8.3%
Spirebluff Canal	Foil	rare	$5.38	1 in 701.4%	8.3%
Step Between Worlds	Foil	rare	$0.33	1 in 701.4%	8.3%
Stingerback Terror	Foil	rare	$0.47	1 in 701.4%	8.3%
Stoic Sphinx	Foil	rare	$0.25	1 in 701.4%	8.3%
Taii Wakeen, Perfect Shot	Foil	rare	$0.42	1 in 701.4%	8.3%
The Key to the Vault	Foil	rare	$0.98	1 in 701.4%	8.3%
Three Steps Ahead	Foil	rare	$9.67	1 in 701.4%	8.3%
Tinybones Joins Up	Foil	rare	$2.07	1 in 701.4%	8.3%
Vadmir, New Blood	Foil	rare	$0.45	1 in 701.4%	8.3%
Vraska Joins Up	Foil	rare	$1.06	1 in 701.4%	8.3%
Wylie Duke, Atiin Hero	Foil	rare	$0.54	1 in 701.4%	8.3%
Annie Flash, the Veteran	Foil	mythic	$0.60	1 in 1400.714%	4.2%
Archangel of Tithes	Foil	mythic	$7.67	1 in 1400.714%	4.2%
Assimilation Aegis	Foil	mythic	$1.63	1 in 1400.714%	4.2%
Bristly Bill, Spine Sower	Foil	mythic	$51.67	1 in 1400.714%	4.2%
Double Down	Foil	mythic	$1.77	1 in 1400.714%	4.2%
Final Showdown	Foil	mythic	$7.09	1 in 1400.714%	4.2%
Geralf, the Fleshwright	Foil	mythic	$4.23	1 in 1400.714%	4.2%
Ghired, Mirror of the Wilds	Foil	mythic	$2.00	1 in 1400.714%	4.2%
Gisa, the Hellraiser	Foil	mythic	$8.93	1 in 1400.714%	4.2%
Goldvein Hydra	Foil	mythic	$10.69	1 in 1400.714%	4.2%
Jace Reawakened	Foil	mythic	$2.12	1 in 1400.714%	4.2%
Kellan, the Kid	Foil	mythic	$3.92	1 in 1400.714%	4.2%
Oko, the Ringleader	Foil	mythic	$1.83	1 in 1400.714%	4.2%
Railway Brawler	Foil	mythic	$8.03	1 in 1400.714%	4.2%
Rakdos, the Muscle	Foil	mythic	$4.79	1 in 1400.714%	4.2%
Selvala, Eager Trailblazer	Foil	mythic	$0.83	1 in 1400.714%	4.2%
Terror of the Peaks	Foil	mythic	$32.04	1 in 1400.714%	4.2%
The Gitrog, Ravenous Ride	Foil	mythic	$6.17	1 in 1400.714%	4.2%
Tinybones, the Pickpocket	Foil	mythic	$8.12	1 in 1400.714%	4.2%
Vraska, the Silencer	Foil	mythic	$3.34	1 in 1400.714%	4.2%

How these odds are calculated

Pull rates come from the set's real pack configuration published by MTGJSON (v5.3.0+20260803) — the same print-sheet weights the real pack uses.
1 in N = 1 ÷ (chance the card appears at least once in a pack), averaged across every pack configuration and weighted by how often each occurs.
Per-box chance = 1 − (1 − pack chance)^{packs per box} — the chance of at least one across a sealed box of the size shown.
Foil and non-foil are listed separately: different cards to a collector, priced very differently.
A deliberate approximation treats each sheet as sampled with replacement. For real sheet sizes the difference is far below the rounding shown, and it can only ever understate a card's odds, never overstate them.
Card identity, images, and prices from Scryfall and TCGplayer market data, updated daily. Box sizes are the typical retail configuration.