Core Set 2021 · Prerelease Pack

m21 · pull rates for every card in the pack

What's in a pack

~1 cards total

Every pack is filled from these print sheets. Per pack = how many cards come from that sheet on average; pool = how many different cards it could be.

SheetPer packPool

Prerelease PromoFOIL168

Expected value

$4.41

expected singles value per pack

$26.46

per box (~6 packs)

This is not a reason to open packs.

It's the estimated resale value of the singles inside — before the price of the pack, before fees and shipping, and before the plain fact that most packs are worth less than they cost. The valuable cards are rare (that's the whole point of the table below). If you want a specific card, buying the single is almost always cheaper and certain.

Estimate = Σ (pull chance × current market price), 68 of 68 droppable cards priced. Slightly conservative — a card can appear more than once in a pack.

Chase cards (32)

Ugin, the Spirit Dragon

$27.301 in 121

foil

Teferi, Master of Time

Azusa, Lost but Seeking

Vito, Thorn of the Dusk Rose

Page 1 of 3(32 cards)

Every card & its odds

68 of 68

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Card	Finish	Rarity	Price	Odds / pack	Per box
Animal Sanctuary	Foil	rare	$3.04	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Azusa, Lost but Seeking	Foil	rare	$14.04	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Barrin, Tolarian Archmage	Foil	rare	$0.92	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Basri's Lieutenant	Foil	rare	$0.66	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Brash Taunter	Foil	rare	$3.21	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Chandra's Incinerator	Foil	rare	$3.60	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Conspicuous Snoop	Foil	rare	$6.53	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Containment Priest	Foil	rare	$2.46	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Demonic Embrace	Foil	rare	$1.25	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Double Vision	Foil	rare	$1.64	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Fabled Passage	Foil	rare	$6.04	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Feline Sovereign	Foil	rare	$4.26	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Gadrak, the Crown-Scourge	Foil	rare	$1.69	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Garruk's Harbinger	Foil	rare	$0.39	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Ghostly Pilferer	Foil	rare	$6.66	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Glorious Anthem	Foil	rare	$0.60	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Heroic Intervention	Foil	rare	$14.61	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Hooded Blightfang	Foil	rare	$1.27	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Idol of Endurance	Foil	rare	$0.67	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Jolrael, Mwonvuli Recluse	Foil	rare	$0.94	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Kaervek, the Spiteful	Foil	rare	$0.76	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Liliana's Standard Bearer	Foil	rare	$0.92	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Mazemind Tome	Foil	rare	$0.91	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Necromentia	Foil	rare	$0.67	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Niambi, Esteemed Speaker	Foil	rare	$0.69	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Nine Lives	Foil	rare	$1.98	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Pack Leader	Foil	rare	$1.61	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Peer into the Abyss	Foil	rare	$11.53	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Primal Might	Foil	rare	$0.50	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Pursued Whale	Foil	rare	$0.58	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Radha, Heart of Keld	Foil	rare	$1.75	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Runed Halo	Foil	rare	$0.47	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Sanctum of All	Foil	rare	$7.04	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Scavenging Ooze	Foil	rare	$0.61	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
See the Truth	Foil	rare	$1.22	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Shacklegeist	Foil	rare	$0.60	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Solemn Simulacrum	Foil	rare	$2.94	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Sparkhunter Masticore	Foil	rare	$0.46	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Speaker of the Heavens	Foil	rare	$2.43	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Sporeweb Weaver	Foil	rare	$1.50	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Stormwing Entity	Foil	rare	$0.71	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Subira, Tulzidi Caravanner	Foil	rare	$0.55	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Sublime Epiphany	Foil	rare	$4.59	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Teferi's Ageless Insight	Foil	rare	$6.16	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Temple of Epiphany	Foil	rare	$0.57	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Temple of Malady	Foil	rare	$0.36	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Temple of Mystery	Foil	rare	$0.64	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Temple of Silence	Foil	rare	$0.99	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Temple of Triumph	Foil	rare	$0.59	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Thieves' Guild Enforcer	Foil	rare	$1.03	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Transmogrify	Foil	rare	$1.04	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Vito, Thorn of the Dusk Rose	Foil	rare	$12.49	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Volcanic Salvo	Foil	rare	$0.48	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Baneslayer Angel	Foil	mythic	$6.67	1 in 1210.826%	4.9%
Basri Ket	Foil	mythic	$3.72	1 in 1210.826%	4.9%
Chandra, Heart of Fire	Foil	mythic	$2.03	1 in 1210.826%	4.9%
Chromatic Orrery	Foil	mythic	$48.68	1 in 1210.826%	4.9%
Discontinuity	Foil	mythic	$2.52	1 in 1210.826%	4.9%
Elder Gargaroth	Foil	mythic	$13.13	1 in 1210.826%	4.9%
Fiery Emancipation	Foil	mythic	$17.55	1 in 1210.826%	4.9%
Garruk, Unleashed	Foil	mythic	$2.29	1 in 1210.826%	4.9%
Grim Tutor	Foil	mythic	$37.63	1 in 1210.826%	4.9%
Liliana, Waker of the Dead	Foil	mythic	$5.95	1 in 1210.826%	4.9%
Mangara, the Diplomat	Foil	mythic	$5.05	1 in 1210.826%	4.9%
Massacre Wurm	Foil	mythic	$11.19	1 in 1210.826%	4.9%
Teferi, Master of Time	Foil	mythic	$19.27	1 in 1210.826%	4.9%
Terror of the Peaks	Foil	mythic	$43.25	1 in 1210.826%	4.9%
Ugin, the Spirit Dragon	Foil	mythic	$27.30	1 in 1210.826%	4.9%

How these odds are calculated

Pull rates come from the set's real pack configuration published by MTGJSON (v5.3.0+20260804) — the same print-sheet weights the real pack uses.
1 in N = 1 ÷ (chance the card appears at least once in a pack), averaged across every pack configuration and weighted by how often each occurs.
Per-box chance = 1 − (1 − pack chance)^{packs per box} — the chance of at least one across a sealed box of the size shown.
Foil and non-foil are listed separately: different cards to a collector, priced very differently.
A deliberate approximation treats each sheet as sampled with replacement. For real sheet sizes the difference is far below the rounding shown, and it can only ever understate a card's odds, never overstate them.
Card identity, images, and prices from Scryfall and TCGplayer market data, updated daily. Box sizes are the typical retail configuration.