The Hobbit Prerelease Pack

hob · pull rates for every card in the pack

Best hitsevery card over $1.00 · 26

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Prices updated 1 hour ago

foil1
Gleaming Splendor
$33.741 in 121
4.9% per box

What's available

A The Hobbit Prerelease Pack holds ~1 cards drawn from a pool of 68 different cards. We hold a price for 68 of them.

By rarity

Mythic15
best: Gleaming Splendor $33.74 · from $1.96
15 of 68 cards
Rare53
best: Wizard's Staff $4.08 · from $0.30

Expected value

$1.80

expected singles value per pack

$10.81

per box (~6 packs)

This is not a reason to open packs.

It's the estimated resale value of the singles inside — before the price of the pack, before fees and shipping, and before the plain fact that most packs are worth less than they cost. The valuable cards are rare (that's the whole point of the table below). If you want a specific card, buying the single is almost always cheaper and certain.

Estimate = Σ (pull chance × current market price), 68 of 68 droppable cards priced. Slightly conservative — a card can appear more than once in a pack.

Every card & its odds

68 of 68

Sort

Card	Finish	Rarity	Price	Odds / pack	Per box
Along the Crooked Way	Foil	rare	$0.42	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
An Unexpected Party // At the Door	Foil	rare	$0.41	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Azog, Moria's Ruin	Foil	rare	$0.36	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Balin, Loremaster	Foil	rare	$0.35	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Bard's Company	Foil	rare	$0.30	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Bejeweled Warg	Foil	rare	$0.47	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Belladonna Took	Foil	rare	$2.99	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Bilbo's Gambit	Foil	rare	$2.08	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Bolg's Company	Foil	rare	$0.36	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Cantankerous Keepers	Foil	rare	$0.44	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Chief Warg's Company	Foil	rare	$0.47	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Desert Were-Worm	Foil	rare	$0.45	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Desolation of Smaug	Foil	rare	$0.47	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Down in the Valley	Foil	rare	$0.33	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Dwalin, Weaponmaster	Foil	rare	$0.51	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Dáin Ironfoot	Foil	rare	$0.35	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Dáin's Company	Foil	rare	$0.37	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Elven Passage	Foil	rare	$0.71	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Fíli the Pathfinder	Foil	rare	$0.36	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Getaway Barrel	Foil	rare	$0.35	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Gigantic Big Bear	Foil	rare	$0.58	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Glamdring, Foe-hammer // Gleam of Death	Foil	rare	$1.32	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Great Gilded Boat	Foil	rare	$0.38	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Head of the Hunt	Foil	rare	$0.42	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Kíli the Resourceful	Foil	rare	$1.47	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Last Light of Durin's Day	Foil	rare	$0.33	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Most Decrepit Old Bird // Speak Secrets	Foil	rare	$0.31	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
My Precious // Allure of Power	Foil	rare	$2.11	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Part in Friendship	Foil	rare	$0.35	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Radagast of Rhosgobel	Foil	rare	$2.81	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Rhovanion Rampager	Foil	rare	$0.32	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Riddles in the Dark	Foil	rare	$0.38	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Roads Go Ever, Ever On	Foil	rare	$0.36	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Roll-Roll-Roll-Roll	Foil	rare	$0.38	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Settle the Wreckage	Foil	rare	$0.60	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Smaug, Wicked Worm	Foil	rare	$1.67	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Sting, Bilbo's Sword	Foil	rare	$0.55	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Stone-Giant of High Pass	Foil	rare	$0.31	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Supper for Spiders	Foil	rare	$0.31	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
The Eagles Are Coming!	Foil	rare	$0.69	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
The Great Goblin	Foil	rare	$0.79	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
The Lonely Mountain	Foil	rare	$1.08	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
The Lord of the Eagles	Foil	rare	$0.46	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
The Master of Lake-town	Foil	rare	$0.62	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
The Misty Mountains Cold	Foil	rare	$0.38	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
The Notary Hobbits	Foil	rare	$0.59	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
The Sackville-Bagginses	Foil	rare	$1.91	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Thranduil's Company	Foil	rare	$0.55	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Thranduil, the Elvenking	Foil	rare	$0.74	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Through the Forest Gate	Foil	rare	$1.23	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Tom, Bert, and William	Foil	rare	$0.32	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Uncover the Moon-Letters	Foil	rare	$0.32	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Wizard's Staff	Foil	rare	$4.08	1 in 611.7%	9.5%
Bard, King of Dale	Foil	mythic	$4.36	1 in 1210.826%	4.9%
Beorn the Fierce	Foil	mythic	$5.00	1 in 1210.826%	4.9%
Bilbo, Thief in the Night	Foil	mythic	$7.66	1 in 1210.826%	4.9%
Dancing from Dark to Dawn	Foil	mythic	$6.60	1 in 1210.826%	4.9%
Elrond, Moon-Reader	Foil	mythic	$2.93	1 in 1210.826%	4.9%
Fateful Discovery	Foil	mythic	$4.23	1 in 1210.826%	4.9%
Gandalf, Goblins' Bane // Flameshape	Foil	mythic	$5.34	1 in 1210.826%	4.9%
Gleaming Splendor	Foil	mythic	$33.74	1 in 1210.826%	4.9%
Gollum, Riddle Master	Foil	mythic	$1.96	1 in 1210.826%	4.9%
Inside Information	Foil	mythic	$2.29	1 in 1210.826%	4.9%
Orcrist, Goblin-cleaver	Foil	mythic	$10.52	1 in 1210.826%	4.9%
Smaug the Magnificent	Foil	mythic	$20.91	1 in 1210.826%	4.9%
The Arkenstone // Seek the Heart	Foil	mythic	$8.70	1 in 1210.826%	4.9%
The Queen of Dale	Foil	mythic	$18.21	1 in 1210.826%	4.9%
Thorin, Mountain-king	Foil	mythic	$2.98	1 in 1210.826%	4.9%

How these odds are calculated

Pull rates come from the set's real pack configuration published by MTGJSON (v5.3.0+20261003) — the same print-sheet weights the real pack uses.
1 in N = 1 ÷ (chance the card appears at least once in a pack), averaged across every pack configuration and weighted by how often each occurs.
Per-box chance = 1 − (1 − pack chance)^{packs per box} — the chance of at least one across a sealed box of the size shown.
Foil and non-foil are listed separately: different cards to a collector, priced very differently.
A deliberate approximation treats each sheet as sampled with replacement. For real sheet sizes the difference is far below the rounding shown, and it can only ever understate a card's odds, never overstate them.
Card identity, images, and prices from Scryfall and TCGplayer market data, updated daily. Box sizes are the typical retail configuration.